2012, a hard year for Spain.

Enjoying this long Christmas holidays, I will try, to make an analysis of the New Year for Spain.

An economic miracle is not expected, actually, the only news that we have watched on the news are that, a deficit is expected for the next quarter, the fact that it was an 8% instead of 6% like the socialists said and the famous cuts. For the end of 2012, a small economic growth is predicted, but its impact will be insignificant.

After an inoperable and useless government, which has not known how to face the economic crisis for a few years, the biggest issue that Mariano Rajoy’s government must solve is the unemployment. Spain can’t afford that figure, like the King Juan Carlos said in his Christmas speech, “it is morally unaffordable” because unemployment rates are not only macroeconomic rates but behind them, there are families. That way, rich creation is impossible. The government must have clear ideas, and decide its direction and act consequently, doing a labor reform which flexible the market.

Mariano Rajoy will have to take many unpopular decisions; wage freeze, raise the taxes sanitary compensations, etc. These decisions will cause the anger of the labor unions and will go on strike after some catastrophic years without doing anything, just waiting for the conservative government of Partido Pupular

Instead of demanding, we should think about our obligations, not with the State, but with the weakest, these 5 million of unemployment people (those who will be never helped by the labor unions) and help to improve, together, without asking the impossible, because there is no money.

After a year, when the situation have improved, those cuts will have to disappear gradually and try to find a good way in the medium term trying to benefit from the economic improvement in the EU, and we should not forget the tourism, which was the main responsible of the Spanish Economic Miracle which we lived in the sixties, taking into account not only our good weather and rich culture, but also our infrastructures. But we should be also focused in the long term, investing more in R+D+I and being more efficient and productive. A rich country does not investigate why it’s rich, it’s rich because it investigates.

So, we must trust Mariano Rajoy’s government, to leave this crisis behind